Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MANA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 0.408586 0.477792 0.555510 0.649330 0.759639 0.885363 1.039740
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.290901 0.377801 0.486395 0.632438 0.824313 1.068647 1.404759
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.243187 0.339350 0.468672 0.656071 0.922046 1.288059 1.833525
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.205120 0.303272 0.443319 0.658930 0.984816 1.462659 2.223283
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.179749 0.279347 0.428913 0.671602 1.059065 1.659599 2.672451
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.154300 0.250515 0.401642 0.658490 1.088919 1.789708 3.034189
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.135267 0.228514 0.381091 0.651610 1.125515 1.932767 3.436095
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.121536 0.213016 0.368488 0.655210 1.178736 2.109040 3.920606
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.114819 0.208441 0.373427 0.689401 1.289756 2.400966 4.660230
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.108430 0.203441 0.376674 0.720456 1.398662 2.703348 5.466958
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.101379 0.196182 0.374648 0.740867 1.489399 2.982852 6.271658
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.093544 0.186339 0.366347 0.747546 1.553169 3.216888 7.018081
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.084825 0.173867 0.351785 0.740484 1.589630 3.404315 7.705398
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.076004 0.160103 0.332980 0.722134 1.599812 3.538424 8.299162
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.072372 0.156723 0.335166 0.749222 1.713807 3.917213 9.527800
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.067090 0.149076 0.327225 0.752503 1.773771 4.181487 10.525069
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.063232 0.144080 0.324415 0.767041 1.862104 4.525155 11.781290
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.057653 0.134456 0.309967 0.751998 1.876258 4.690394 12.602398
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.053142 0.126778 0.299078 0.744105 1.907094 4.901885 13.585693
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.049817 0.121536 0.293320 0.748235 1.969479 5.204142 14.876288
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 0.048768 0.121753 0.300835 0.787465 2.130715 5.793950 17.103037
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 0.047524 0.121322 0.306675 0.823105 2.287683 6.396942 19.484465
2025-05-04 00:00:00+00:00 0.045708 0.119197 0.307932 0.846533 2.414103 6.934036 21.767803